The evolution of personalized healthcare and the pivotal role of European regions in its implementation

Personalized medicine (PM) moves at the same pace of data and technology and calls for important changes in healthcare. New players are participating, providing impulse to PM. We review the conceptual foundations for PM and personalized healthcare and their evolution through scientific publications where a clear definition and the features of the different formulations are identifiable. We then examined PM policy documents of the International Consortium for Personalised Medicine and related initiatives to understand how PM stakeholders have been changing.

Model selection for inferring Gaussian graphical models

In this article, we deal with the model selection problem for estimating a Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) by regression based techniques. In fact, although regression based techniques are well understood and have good theoretical properties, it is still not clear which criterion is more appropriate for model selection. In this work we do a comparative study between CV and BIC, obtaining important conclusions that can be of practical interest in different contexts of data analysis.

A time-modulated Hawkes process to model the spread of COVID-19 and the impact of countermeasures

Motivated by the recent outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19), we propose a stochastic model of epidemic temporal growth and mitigation based on a time-modulated Hawkes process. The model is sufficiently rich to incorporate specific characteristics of the novel coronavirus, to capture the impact of undetected, asymptomatic and super-diffusive individuals, and especially to take into account time-varying counter-measures and detection efforts. Yet, it is simple enough to allow scalable and efficient computation of the temporal evolution of the epidemic, and exploration of what-if scenarios.

A large deviation approach to super-critical bootstrap percolation on the random graph G(n,p)

We consider the Erdös-Rényi random graph G(n,p) and we analyze the simple irreversible epidemic process on the graph, known in the literature as bootstrap percolation. We give a quantitative version of some results by Janson et al. (2012), providing a fine asymptotic analysis of the final size A_n of active nodes, under a suitable super-critical regime. More specifically, we establish large deviation principles for the sequence of random variables n-A_n/f (n) with explicit rate functions and allowing the scaling function f to vary in the widest possible range.

Three-stage multiscale modelling of the NMDA neuroreceptor

We present a new multistage method to study the N-Methyl-D-Aspartate (NMDA) neuroreceptor starting from the reconstruction of its crystallographic structure. Thanks to the combination of Homology Modelling, Molecular Dynamics and Lattice Boltzmann simulations, we analyse the allosteric transition of NDMA upon ligand binding and compute the receptor response to ionic passage across the membrane.

Emulating complex simulations by machine learning methods

Background: The aim of the present paper is to construct an emulator of a complex biological system simulator using a machine learning approach. More specifically, the simulator is a patient-specific model that integrates metabolic, nutritional, and lifestyle data to predict the metabolic and inflammatory processes underlying the development of type-2 diabetes in absence of familiarity. Given the very high incidence of type-2 diabetes, the implementation of this predictive model on mobile devices could provide a useful instrument to assess the risk of the disease for aware individuals.

A geroscience approach for Parkinson's disease: Conceptual framework and design of PROPAG-AGEING project

Advanced age is the major risk factor for idiopathic Parkinson's disease (PD), but to date the biological relationship between PD and ageing remains elusive. Here we describe the rationale and the design of the H2020 funded project "PROPAG-AGEING", whose aim is to characterize the contribution of the ageing process to PD development. We summarize current evidences that support the existence of a continuum between ageing and PD and justify the use of a Geroscience approach to study PD.