Parameter estimation tools for cardiovascular flow modeling of fetal circulation

Usually, clinicians assess the correct hemodynamic behavior and fetal wellbeing during the gestational age thanks to their professional expertise, with the support of some indices defined for Doppler fetal waveforms. Although this approach has demonstrated to be satisfactory in the most of the cases, it can be largely improved with the aid of more advanced techniques, i.e. numerical analysis and simulation. Another key aspect limiting the analysis is that clinicians rely on a limited number of Doppler waveforms observed during the clinical examination. Moreover, the use of simple velocimetric indicators for deriving possible malfunctions of the fetal cardiovascular system can be misleading, being the fetal assessment based on a mere statistical analysis (comparison with physiological ranges), without any deep physiopathological interpretations of the observed hemodynamic changes. The use of a lumped mathematical model, properly describing the entire fetal cardiovascular system, would be absolutely helpful in this context: by targeting physiological model parameters on the clinical reliefs, we could gain deep insights of the full system. The calibration of model parameters may also help in formulating patient-specific early diagnosis of fetal pathologies. In the present work, we develop a robust parameter estimation algorithm based on two different optimization methods using synthetic data. In particular, we deal with the inverse problem of recognizing the most significant parameters of a lumped fetal circulation model by using time tracings of fetal blood flows and pressures obtained by the model. This represents a first methodological work for the assessment of the accuracy in the identification of model parameters of an algorithm based on closed-loop mathematical model of fetal circulation and opens the way to the application of the algorithm to clinical data.